Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.226458 0.264752 0.309913 0.367748 0.440792 0.531285 0.653983
2025-01-05 0.164810 0.209862 0.269680 0.357393 0.487262 0.680541 1.007442
2025-01-12 0.133911 0.181307 0.249997 0.361979 0.551344 0.884050 1.586494
2025-01-19 0.112018 0.158534 0.230449 0.357666 0.597362 1.084091 2.356588
2025-01-26 0.098892 0.145349 0.221316 0.365957 0.667742 1.376604 3.728157
2025-02-02 0.089833 0.136474 0.216640 0.379944 0.755712 1.780325 6.249247
2025-02-09 0.082053 0.128152 0.210815 0.389436 0.838769 2.254953 10.611727
2025-02-16 0.075976 0.121668 0.206839 0.401375 0.935275 2.892343 19.533945
2025-02-23 0.070378 0.115128 0.201370 0.408212 1.022901 3.633711 37.539176
2025-03-02 0.065291 0.108784 0.195069 0.411198 1.102220 4.492902 77.567542
2025-03-09 0.060490 0.102343 0.187434 0.408679 1.163415 5.406077 172.285843
2025-03-16 0.055831 0.095623 0.178130 0.399278 1.195705 6.244829 402.640927
2025-03-23 0.053111 0.092530 0.176554 0.411779 1.329289 8.359044 3029.376625
2025-03-30 0.049236 0.086684 0.167883 0.401509 1.361126 9.747139 42385.776611
2025-04-06 0.046735 0.083413 0.164745 0.407422 1.477111 12.810355 NaN
2025-04-13 0.043917 0.079180 0.158692 0.402554 1.538076 15.677805 NaN
2025-04-20 0.042113 0.076927 0.157154 0.412312 1.692363 21.934604 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040755 0.075497 0.157458 0.428728 1.909830 33.664232 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039266 0.073620 0.156333 0.439881 2.112511 51.323089 NaN
2025-05-11 0.037993 0.072104 0.155938 0.453924 2.362806 85.290637 NaN
2025-05-18 0.036592 0.070159 0.154114 0.461975 2.584556 141.213872 NaN
2025-05-25 0.035145 0.067979 0.151347 0.465494 2.779613 235.795883 NaN
2025-06-01 0.033608 0.065457 0.147300 0.462525 2.914850 379.009687 NaN